SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.41% ( -0.47) | 22.65% ( -0.05) | 37.94% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 66.77% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66% ( 0.32) | 34% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.13% ( 0.36) | 55.87% ( -0.36) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( -0.07) | 17.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( -0.11) | 48.8% ( 0.11) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 0.37) | 18.61% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( 0.63) | 49.9% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.94% |
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