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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (4.94%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.17% ( -0.73) | 22.74% ( -0.19) | 39.09% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 66.39% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.99) | 34.5% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.57% ( 1.1) | 56.43% ( -1.1) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0.1) | 18.72% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( 0.16) | 50.09% ( -0.16) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.84) | 18.31% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( 1.41) | 49.4% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.09% |
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