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AU
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
SF

Adelaide United
1 - 5
Sydney FC

Clough (67' pen.)
Yull (16')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Lolley (4', 13'), Kucharski (31', 44'), Gomes (46')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, November 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
37.22% (-0.341 -0.34) 22.79% (-0.041 -0.04) 39.98% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 66.12% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.17% (0.172 0.17)34.83% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.2% (0.193 0.19)56.8% (-0.192 -0.19)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)19.3% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (-0.137 -0.14)51.05% (0.136 0.14)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.23699999999999 0.24)18.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (0.402 0.4)48.98% (-0.402 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 37.22%
    Sydney FC 39.98%
    Draw 22.8%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.74% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.94% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.027 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Central Coast
Friday, October 20 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, May 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Central Coast
Saturday, May 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-0 Wellington
Friday, May 5 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, November 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Sydney FC
Friday, May 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Friday, May 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, May 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League


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