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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
48.22% ( -1.35) | 21.35% ( 0.22) | 30.42% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 69.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.16% ( -0.4) | 29.83% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.01% ( -0.48) | 50.99% ( 0.48) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0.56) | 13.07% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.32% ( -1.15) | 39.68% ( 1.15) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 0.43) | 20.38% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( 0.68) | 52.8% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.42% |
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