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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.29% ( -0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.07) | 43.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.31) | 44.92% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.3) | 67.27% ( 0.3) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.24) | 61.89% ( 0.24) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.14) | 20.94% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( -0.21) | 53.67% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.06% |
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