SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
47.96% ( 0.42) | 24.92% ( 0.21) | 27.11% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( -1.31) | 48.79% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( -1.2) | 70.89% ( 1.2) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.35) | 20.38% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( -0.56) | 52.79% ( 0.56) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -1.17) | 32.22% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( -1.35) | 68.71% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.96% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.11% |
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