Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.