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Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Nov 27, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
CC

Wellington
2 - 1
Central Coast

Hooper (48'), Sotirio (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Urena (52')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
38.03%24.22%37.76%
Both teams to score 60.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08%41.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68%64.32%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95%22.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62%55.38%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82%22.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42%55.59%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 38.03%
    Central Coast Mariners 37.76%
    Draw 24.21%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.76%

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