Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
