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Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Dec 19, 2021 at 7.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
WP

Sydney FC
2 - 1
Wellington

Kamsoba (19'), le Fondre (57')
Retre (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waine (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
45.71%25.52%28.77%
Both teams to score 53.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7%50.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75%72.25%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25%31.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82%68.18%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 45.7%
    Wellington Phoenix 28.77%
    Draw 25.52%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.77%

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