Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
45.71% | 25.52% | 28.77% |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% | 50.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% | 21.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% | 55.3% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% | 31.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% | 68.18% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.77% |
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