Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
