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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
May 16, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Perth Oval
WS

Perth Glory
5 - 1
Western Sydney

Keogh (5', 24', 66' pen., 72'), Chianese (90+4')
Ikonomidis (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kamau (49')
Kamau (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
41.62%23.83%34.55%
Both teams to score 61.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.58%40.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2%62.81%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81%23.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92%57.09%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 41.62%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 34.55%
    Draw 23.82%
Perth GloryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 34.55%

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