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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
M

Auckland FC
2 - 1
Macarthur

Moreno (10'), Verstraete (80')
Verstraete (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hollman (19')
Vujica (32'), Brattan (34')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FCDrawMacarthur
37.74% (0.641 0.64) 25.33% (0.251 0.25) 36.93% (-0.886 -0.89)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-1.148 -1.15)47.18% (1.153 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-1.076 -1.08)69.42% (1.081 1.08)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.178 -0.18)24.56% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.248 -0.25)59.05% (0.256 0.26)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-1.003 -1)25% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-1.41 -1.41)59.66% (1.417 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 37.74%
    Macarthur 36.93%
    Draw 25.33%
Auckland FCDrawMacarthur
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.74%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, January 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Auckland FC
Wednesday, January 22 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 18 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Auckland FC
Saturday, January 11 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, January 25 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Monday, January 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Macarthur
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur
Friday, December 27 at 11.45am in Australian A-League


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