Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Auckland FC | Draw | Macarthur |
37.74% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() | 36.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% (![]() | 47.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% (![]() | 69.42% (![]() |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.44% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% (![]() | 59.05% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% (![]() | 25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% (![]() | 59.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Auckland FC | Draw | Macarthur |
1-0 @ 8.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.93% |
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