SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
42.71% ( 0.5) | 22.93% ( 0.12) | 34.35% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 65% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.75) | 36.06% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.83) | 58.16% ( 0.83) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -0.1) | 17.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( -0.18) | 47.9% ( 0.19) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -0.65) | 21.27% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( -1.03) | 54.19% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.1% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.35% |
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