Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.14%) and 2-3 (4.71%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
37.15% ( 0.41)	21.33% ( 0.2)	41.51% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 71.98% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.73% (

-0.94)

27.27% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.18% (

-1.19)

47.83% (

1.19)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

-0.25)

15.99% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.7% (

-0.46)

45.3% (

0.46)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

-0.6)

14.32% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85% (

-1.17)

42.15% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 37.15%

Adelaide United 41.51%

Draw 21.33%

Macarthur	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.74% Total : 37.15%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 3-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.51%