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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
46.43% ( -0.05) | 21.4% ( 0.01) | 32.17% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.02) | 29.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.86% ( -0.02) | 50.13% ( 0.02) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( -0.02) | 13.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( -0.05) | 40.3% ( 0.04) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( 0.01) | 19.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( 0.02) | 50.75% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.17% |
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