Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
31.9% ( 0.16)	22.12% ( 0.04)	45.98% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 67.09% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.08% (

-0.15)

32.92% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.36% (

-0.17)

54.63% (

0.16)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

0.01)

21.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08% (

0.02)

53.92% (

-0.03)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

-0.13)

14.97% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59% (

-0.24)

43.4% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 31.9%

Adelaide United 45.98%

Draw 22.12%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 31.9%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 45.98%