SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.86% ( 0.37) | 21.88% ( 0.24) | 40.25% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 69.82% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% ( -1.22) | 30.06% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.74% ( -1.48) | 51.26% ( 1.48) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( -0.38) | 16.92% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( -0.67) | 46.98% ( 0.67) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.74) | 15.95% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.76% ( -1.38) | 45.23% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.25% |
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