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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
34.41% ( 0.14) | 24.33% ( 0.15) | 41.26% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( -0.66) | 42.83% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.66) | 65.23% ( 0.66) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.23) | 24.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0.33) | 58.81% ( 0.33) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( -0.42) | 20.88% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( -0.65) | 53.59% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.26% |
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