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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
48.45% ( 0.13) | 20.9% ( 0.07) | 30.64% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 71.12% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.46) | 27.42% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.58) | 48.02% ( 0.57) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( -0.13) | 12.13% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% ( -0.27) | 37.71% ( 0.27) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.33) | 19.06% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% ( -0.56) | 50.65% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.64% |
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