SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.3%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
51.47% ( 0.47) | 19.83% ( 0.02) | 28.7% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 73.92% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.49) | 23.35% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.26% ( -0.66) | 42.73% ( 0.65) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.12% ( -0.05) | 9.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.26% ( -0.12) | 32.73% ( 0.11) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.51) | 17.97% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( -0.88) | 48.82% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.25% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.7% |
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