SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.15% ( 0.1) | 25.63% ( -0) | 35.22% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0) | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0) | 70.76% ( 0) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( 0.07) | 58.92% ( -0.07) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.06) | 26.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -0.08) | 61.91% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.22% |
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