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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
31.6% ( 0.1) | 26% ( -0.03) | 42.4% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.13) | 51.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( 0.12) | 72.91% ( -0.12) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.14) | 30.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( 0.16) | 66.27% ( -0.16) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( 0.02) | 23.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( 0.03) | 58.09% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.4% |
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