Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
