Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
