SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
28.67% ( -0.33) | 24.89% ( 0.32) | 46.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -1.57) | 47.68% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -1.46) | 69.88% ( 1.47) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -1.04) | 30.47% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -1.25) | 66.68% ( 1.25) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.63) | 20.58% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( -1.01) | 53.12% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.67% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.44% |
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