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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
37.82% ( 0.54) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.06) | 49.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.06) | 71.3% ( 0.06) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.27) | 25.47% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( 0.36) | 60.3% ( -0.36) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0.34) | 26.26% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.46) | 61.38% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% |
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