Victory
2 - 2
Sydney FC

Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
25.2%	23.32%	51.48%

Both teams to score 57.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65%

43.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25%

65.74%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15%

30.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88%

67.12%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1%

16.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06%

46.94%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 25.2%

Sydney FC 51.48%

Draw 23.31%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 6.41% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.2%	1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.48%