Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
53.95% ( 1.82)	21.5% ( -0.26)	24.55% ( -1.56)

Both teams to score 63.24% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.57% (

-0.25)

35.43% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.53% (

-0.28)

57.46% (

0.28)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72% (

0.48)

13.27% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.92% (

0.95)

40.07% (

-0.95)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-1.27)

27.08% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-1.69)

62.46% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 53.95%

Perth Glory 24.55%

Draw 21.5%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.95%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.84% Total : 24.55%