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Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 10.45am UK
HBF Park
NJ

Perth Glory
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Taggart (72', 90')
Taggart (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (40'), Mauragis (54')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
40.77% (0.241 0.24) 23.15% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 36.07% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 64.58% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (0.354 0.35)36.77% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (0.38500000000001 0.39)58.94% (-0.383 -0.38)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.254 0.25)18.54% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (0.426 0.43)49.79% (-0.425 -0.42)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (0.079000000000008 0.08)20.72% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.66% (0.122 0.12)53.33% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 40.77%
    Newcastle Jets 36.07%
    Draw 23.15%
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 17 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Perth Glory
Friday, February 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 4-2 Melbourne City
Friday, February 2 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, January 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, February 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League


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