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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
49.11% ( 0.38) | 23.78% ( -0.06) | 27.11% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( 0.05) | 43.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( 0.05) | 66.23% ( -0.06) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.17) | 17.97% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( 0.29) | 48.81% ( -0.29) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.2) | 29.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.25) | 65.67% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.11% |
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