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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Newcastle Jets has a probability of 30.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win is 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
46.2% ( -1.62) | 23.71% ( 0.11) | 30.09% ( 1.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.38) | 41.59% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( 0.38) | 63.99% ( -0.38) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.49) | 18.24% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.71% ( -0.84) | 49.28% ( 0.84) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 1.19) | 26.41% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( 1.56) | 61.57% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.09% |
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