SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.18% ( -0.31) | 24.85% ( 0.02) | 28.98% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.08) | 47.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( 0.07) | 69.55% ( -0.07) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.1) | 20.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( -0.16) | 53.07% ( 0.17) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( 0.26) | 30.07% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( 0.3) | 66.2% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.98% |
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