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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
PG

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Buhagiar (36'), Grozos (79')
O'Neill (4'), Mikeltadze (30'), Jenkinson (49'), Buhagiar (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ostler (52'), Williams (90+7')
Beevers (14')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Perth Glory

While Perth Glory were able to secure three points last weekend, neither of the teams have a lot of momentum behind them right now so battling it out to a draw would not be a surprise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
46.18% (-0.315 -0.31) 24.85% (0.02 0.02) 28.98% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.131 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)47.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.074000000000002 0.07)69.55% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.102 -0.1)20.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.165 -0.16)53.07% (0.168 0.17)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (0.25500000000001 0.26)30.07% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (0.303 0.3)66.2% (-0.3 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 46.18%
    Perth Glory 28.98%
    Draw 24.84%
Newcastle JetsDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, March 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 4 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Western Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 18 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Victory
Sunday, February 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, March 10 at 11am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, February 26 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 18 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 11 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League


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