Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
