Victory
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
40.84%	24.98%	34.17%

Both teams to score 57.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.07%

45.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77%

68.23%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59%

22.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07%

55.93%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01%

25.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99%

61.01%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 40.84%

Newcastle Jets 34.17%

Draw 24.97%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.78% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.84%	1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 7.91% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.17%