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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
May 23, 2021 at 11.15am UK
Perth Oval
M

Perth Glory
1 - 1
Macarthur

Castro (13' pen.)
Malik (69'), D'Agostino (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Derbyshire (30')
M'Mombwa (3'), Puyo (34'), Rose (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
47.86%22.14%30%
Both teams to score 65.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94%34.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.07%55.94%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25%14.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02%42.99%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6%56.4%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 47.86%
    Macarthur 30%
    Draw 22.14%
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.1%
1-0 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 3.92%
4-1 @ 2.78%
4-2 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.86%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.35%
3-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30%

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