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MX23RW : Monday, November 25 08:07:59
SM
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PG
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
May 9, 2021 at 9.10am UK
Perth Oval
MV

Perth Glory
2 - 1
Victory

Fornaroli (52'), Ikonomidis (56')
Timmins (24'), Ota (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gestede (79')
Kruse (75')
Ansell (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
50.17%24.26%25.57%
Both teams to score 54.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63%69.37%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18%18.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75%50.25%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.1%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 50.17%
    Melbourne Victory 25.57%
    Draw 24.25%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.88%
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 25.57%

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