SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 50.17% | 24.26% | 25.57% |
| Both teams to score 54.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% | 47.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% | 69.37% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% | 18.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.75% | 50.25% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.57% |
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