SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for Perth Glory has a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-3 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Perth Glory win it is 2-1 (4.8%).
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
17.64% ( 0.01) | 19.01% ( 0.25) | 63.34% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.9% ( -1.2) | 33.09% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.17% ( -1.39) | 54.83% ( 1.38) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.73) | 31.88% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( -0.84) | 68.33% ( 0.84) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90% ( -0.41) | 10% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.98% ( -0.94) | 33.02% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 17.65% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.34% |
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