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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2024 at 10.45am UK
nib Stadium
MV

Perth Glory
2 - 3
Victory

Taggart (20'), Majekodunmi (89')
Kamau (34'), Taggart (50')
Kamau (46')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machach (42'), Adams (82'), Folami (90+6')
Adams (84')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
26.98% (0.377 0.38) 22.73% (0.195 0.2) 50.29% (-0.575 -0.57)
Both teams to score 61.29% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (-0.623 -0.62)39.08% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-0.657 -0.66)61.41% (0.656 0.66)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.25% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)62.68% (0.073 0.07)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (-0.426 -0.43)15.76% (0.426 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.13% (-0.793 -0.79)44.87% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 26.98%
    Melbourne Victory 50.29%
    Draw 22.73%
Perth GloryDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.98%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 50.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Melbourne City
Friday, December 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, November 26 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Victory
Sunday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Victory
Sunday, December 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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