SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.92% ( 0.19) | 24.95% ( -0.07) | 28.13% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( 0.21) | 48.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( 0.19) | 70.41% ( -0.19) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( 0.17) | 20.61% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( 0.27) | 53.16% ( -0.27) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( 0.02) | 31.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( 0.03) | 67.5% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.13% |
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