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Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 5am UK
Marvel Stadium
PG

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Fornaroli (16', 53')
Velupillay (90+1'), Izzo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennie (61')
Stajcic (76')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
59.14% (0.66200000000001 0.66) 20.9% (-0.147 -0.15) 19.96% (-0.514 -0.51)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)38.39% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.33% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)60.67% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3% (0.172 0.17)12.7% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.09% (0.352 0.35)38.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.535 -0.53)32.7% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (-0.604 -0.6)69.26% (0.60499999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 59.14%
    Perth Glory 19.96%
    Draw 20.9%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Western Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 9 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 17 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Perth Glory
Friday, February 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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