SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.2% ( -0.06) | 25.13% ( -0.09) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( 0.31) | 49.63% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( 0.28) | 71.65% ( -0.28) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( 0.12) | 32.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( 0.13) | 69.13% ( -0.14) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0.19) | 20.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( 0.3) | 53.53% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.66% |
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