Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Perth Glory
58.15% ( 0.17)	21.21% ( -0.1)	20.64% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.76% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

0.35)

38.89% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79% (

0.36)

61.2% (

-0.36)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85% (

0.16)

13.15% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.16% (

0.33)

39.84% (

-0.33)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

0.13)

32.34% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

0.14)

68.85% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 58.15%

Perth Glory 20.64%

Draw 21.21%

Sydney FC	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.15%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.64%