SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
56.31% ( -0.14) | 21.93% ( -0.02) | 21.76% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.33) | 40.7% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.34) | 63.09% ( -0.34) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( 0.07) | 14.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.13) | 42.14% ( -0.13) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.35) | 32.33% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.39) | 68.83% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.76% |
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