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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
21.51% ( 0.28) | 23.02% ( 0.24) | 55.47% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.71) | 45.91% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.68) | 68.22% ( 0.68) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.13) | 35.49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( -0.13) | 72.26% ( 0.13) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.44) | 16.4% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% ( -0.79) | 46.05% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.51% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 55.47% |
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