Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
47.26% | 22.8% | 29.94% |
Both teams to score 63.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.68% | 37.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.46% | 59.54% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% | 16.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.34% | 45.66% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% | 24.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% | 58.79% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.94% |
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