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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
May 30, 2021 at 4.35am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
PG

Wellington
2 - 2
Perth Glory

Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
47.26%22.8%29.94%
Both teams to score 63.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.68%37.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.46%59.54%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.66%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 47.26%
    Perth Glory 29.94%
    Draw 22.8%
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.8%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.95%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.94%

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