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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
30.44% ( -1.05) | 23.28% ( 0.07) | 46.28% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.87) | 39.33% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.92) | 61.67% ( 0.91) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -1.07) | 25.07% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( -1.5) | 59.76% ( 1.5) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 0.05) | 17.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.3% ( 0.08) | 47.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.28% |
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