SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 38.44% | 25.25% ( 0.03) | 36.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.14) | 46.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.13) | 69.1% ( 0.12) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.06) | 24.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.09) | 58.3% ( 0.09) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.08) | 25.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.11) | 59.93% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.3% |
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