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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
44.45% ( 2.68) | 22.94% ( -0.25) | 32.6% ( -2.43) |
| Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.48) | 36.71% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.52) | 58.87% ( -0.52) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( 1.28) | 17.01% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( 2.22) | 47.14% ( -2.22) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( -1.08) | 22.52% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( -1.64) | 56.09% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.21)Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.6% |
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