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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.11% ( 0.1) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 34.06% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( -0.1) | 40.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( -0.1) | 62.88% ( 0.1) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0) | 19.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 0) | 51.41% ( -0.01) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.11) | 23.5% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( -0.16) | 57.53% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.06% |
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