SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
41.18% ( -3.79) | 22.91% ( 0.4) | 35.91% ( 3.38) |
| Both teams to score 65.48% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( -1.02) | 35.58% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( -1.13) | 57.64% ( 1.13) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -1.9) | 17.88% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% ( -3.38) | 48.65% ( 3.38) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 1.28) | 20.26% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( 2) | 52.61% ( -2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.3)Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.56)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.23)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.91% |
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