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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.86% ( 0.54) | 20.15% ( -0.17) | 21.99% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.88% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.36) | 31.85% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.42) | 53.39% ( -0.41) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.99% ( 0.25) | 11.01% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.71% ( 0.56) | 35.29% ( -0.55) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.09) | 27.1% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -0.12) | 62.48% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.7% Total : 21.99% |
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